中国将成第2大经济体

美国农业部预测了15年后的全球经济体排名,可以通过下图看到,美国不再遥遥领先,新兴市场国后来居上。

数据显示,到2030年,美国将勉强保住世界第一大经济体的宝座,GDP预计24.8万亿美元;中国紧随其后,位居第二,GDP规模将增至现在的两倍;而目前排名第八的印度,15年后将跃居第三。 

其后的国家排名依次为日本、德国、巴西、英国、法国、加拿大、俄罗斯、意大利、墨西哥、印度尼西亚、澳大利亚、韩国、西班牙、土耳其、沙特阿拉伯、尼日利亚和荷兰。

对于此数据,专家指出,“仍然有很多不确定性。中国GDP增长4%还是6%对于它是否能成为全球经济强国是至关重要的因素。而印度增长3%还是8%,经过很长时期后也会给预测结果造成巨大差异。”

也许很多人认为中国成为世界最大经济体是一个必然趋势,但是对于15年后的发展程度,你怎么看?

你觉得这个结果应该更快些?

还是觉得有点悬?

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